Somali Piracy in the Gulf of Aden

Somali Piracy Incidents - 2010

An Application of Systems Engineering to Foreign Policy


Problem Statement

Design a System Solution to Eliminate Open Seas Piracy in the African Horn Region

  • To Permanently Eliminate Piracy in this region
  • By Neutralizing existing threats, Preventing imminent threats, Sustaining safe passage (by Minimizing Human Casualties and Optimizing stakeholder value)
  • Using International Naval Resources and Political and Economic Stabilization of Somalia

 

Somali Piracy System Engineering Process Vee

 


Background and Problem Boundaries

UNOSAT Somalia Pirate Attacks Map — 2008 (JPG)Somalia:

  • 1,900 miles of coastline
  • Regional International Shipping Area covers 1.1 million square nautical miles
  • GDP/Capita equals $600 USD (2007 est)
  • Shipping Density estimated as 30,000+ ships/year

2008 Piracy Activity:

  • 120 confirmed attacks with 43 ships pirated
  • Direct/Indirect Costs of piracy estimated at $10 billion USD per year
  • Somalia east coast average incident radius approximately 235 nautical miles

2009 Piracy Activity (as of August 2009):

  • Somalia east coast average incident radius expanded 61% to 380 nautical miles

UNOSAT Somalia Pirate Attacks Map — 2008 — Gulf of Aden


Stakeholder Analysis — Causal Loops

Somali Piracy Overall Causal Loop Diagrams

Somali Piracy Internal Causal Loop DiagramInternal Causal Loops

  • Short Term Impacts
    • Pirate Funding
  • Near Term Impacts
    • Pirate Insurgency
    • Somali Tourism
  • Long Term Impacts
    • Somali Economy
    • Government Stability

External Causal Loops

 

 

Somali Piracy in the Gulf of Aden Resolution - An Application of Systems Engineering to Foreign Policy (Poster)

Analysis of Somali Piracy in the Gulf of Aden – An Application of Systems Engineering to Foreign Policy (Poster)

 

 

Somali Piracy Master System Dynamics Causal Loop Diagram

Somali Piracy Master System Dynamics Causal Loop Diagram

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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